What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

Question

X = 5/21/2023 Bitcoin market cap divided by total global M1 = 0.01
Y = 1/1/2100 Bitcoin market cap divided by total global M1 = ???

Resolves to the base-10 logarithm of (Y/X)
Total global M1 includes other cryptocurrencies.

Related arb-able markets:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/what-will-be-annualized-nominal-wor)
(https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/what-will-be-the-annualized-nominal)

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.6446095951566947 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of May 27, 2026).