Conditional on Biden dropping out, will Trump be elected president?

Question

This market attempts to determine whether Biden dropping out would result in Trump's chances improving or worsening.

This market resolves:

N/A if Biden is considered to be one of the two main presidential candidates on November 5, 2024

YES if Trump is elected President of the United States, and Biden is NOT considered one of the main candidates

NO if Trump is NOT elected President of the United States, and Biden is NOT considered one of the main candidates

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Nov 7, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.