This question resolves to YES if there are >=100,000 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by year end, using reported confirmed cases from Our World in Data:

https://ourworldindata.org/monkeypox

Jul 9, 7:03am: 
My Policy = “Betting as usual” 
Applying the joy_void_joy ontology
https://manifold.markets/Angela/repost-under-what-conditions-is-it#AbqapM5wyao8Lr87sJVO

Jul 9, 7:13am: 
“monkeypox”= the disease currently being reported as monkeypox, with attribution as monkeypox continuing even if the name is changed