Will the right-wing party AfD participate in a state-level government in Germany for the first time in 2024?

Question

The Alternative für Deutschland (AfD, engl. Alternative for Germany) has never been part of a coalition at national or state level in Germany yet (they helped to elect Kemmerich in Thuringia, but weren't formally part of a coalition).

There will be three elections in 2024 in Brandenburg, Saxony, and Thuringia. In current polls in Saxony, the AfD holds around 30% of votes. All major parties publically said they wouldn't build a coalition with the AfD.

This market resolves YES if there is a coalition at a state (or national) level that includes the AfD before Dec 31st, 2024.

Jan 30, 11:40pm: Will the right-wing party AfD be part of a state-level government in Germany in 2024? → Will the right-wing party AfD participate in a state-level government in Germany for the first time in 2024?

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 25, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.