Will any Republican Vote to Impeach Trump in 2026?

Question

Resolves yes if the house votes on impeachment of President Donald trump, and at least one Republican votes yes on at least one article of impeachment.

Resolves no if there is no vote on trumps impeachment in 2026, or no Republican votes yes.

Must be a Republican or caucus with the republicans at time of the vote.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (80 traders, as of Oct 9, 2026).