Who will make the runoff of the 2026 LA mayor election?

Question

If no runoff is required (someone is over 50% in first round), then it will resolve only to them.

Otherwise, this resolves to the 2 candidates that make the runoff for LA mayor.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Los_Angeles_mayoral_election#

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Karen Bass, followed by Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman are most likely. See the market for live updates (18 traders, as of May 22, 2026).