If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…..?

Question

Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.

Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.

Stay on= be an mp continuously until then. If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.

Add Suggestions for answers below.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 is most likely. See the market for live updates (23 traders, as of Sep 14, 2026).