How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?

Question

Including independents who intend to caucus with the Democrats.

Based on consensus of credible reporting called races.

Please format answers as X+ for X or more seats. If there's relevant context to the number, feel free to add it; or just add numbers that seem relevant to forecast.

See also:
@/ShaneBo/will-democrats-have-225-or-more-sea

@/kl938/will-the-democratic-party-win-more-Sh65d0959n

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 257+ (2008 result) and 267+ (1990 result) are most likely. See the market for live updates (33 traders, as of Nov 8, 2026).