Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?

Question

As determined by https://www.howmanypeopleareinspacerightnow.com/ or another reliable source.

The record as of market creation is 19 people in space at once.

If case of ambiguity, "in space" means above the Kármán line. There's no requirement that they be in orbit.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 11% chance (76 traders, as of Mar 13, 2026).