Will the US have a female or gender non-conforming president by 2033?

Question

They can be president for any length of time.

This market closes right after inaguration day 2033.

Update 2025-11-01 (PST): - Gender non-conforming applies only if the presentation is clearly intended to look strongly feminine. (AI summary of creator comment)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 31% chance (57 traders, as of Nov 3, 2025).