Will humanity survive until 2100?

Question

Full question:

Humanity will not go extinct before 2100. At least 1 thousand humans or human descendants (e.g., mind uploads) will be alive in 2100.

One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.

Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 89% chance (74 traders, as of Apr 15, 2026).