Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?

Question

Resolves YES once Elon Musk is listed by Forbes or a similar sources as a trillionaire.

Resolves NO once someone else is listed by Forbes or a similar sources as a trillionaire, or Elon Musk experiences information-theoretic death.

(Denoted in nominal USD.)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 100% chance (119 traders, as of Jun 17, 2026).