Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?

Question

Resolves YES once Elon Musk is listed by Forbes or a similar sources as a trillionaire.

Resolves NO once someone else is listed by Forbes or a similar sources as a trillionaire, or Elon Musk experiences information-theoretic death.

(Denoted in nominal USD.)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 89% chance (105 traders, as of May 24, 2026).