Will any long-term market have at least 500 traders by the end of 2023?

Question

A "long-term market" here will mean any market that, per its stated resolution criteria, has a decent chance of not resolving until after the beginning of 2030.

(Not including markets that will never resolve, like the Destiny "permanent" markets.)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Jul 30, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.