Will AI be superhuman at MTG rules by the end of 2030?

Question

Resolves YES if AI is consistently better than me and any other human across all rules-related tasks. It does not need to be perfect, nor does it need to be better than a collective of humans who can error-correct for each other. Any type of AI system qualifies.

(This does not take speed into account; I can't even read a question in 1 second, so just because an AI can do so and guess an answer doesn't mean it's better. The humans get to take a human-reasonable amount of time to answer.)

For an easier version of this question, see @/IsaacKing/will-ai-be-able-to-accurately-answe

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 83% chance (16 traders, as of Feb 11, 2026).