I buy and sell a lot of trading cards; usually Magic: The Gathering, sometimes Pokemon or other games. These marketplaces rely strongly on reputation and references to ensure that one is buying from someone who isn't going to scam you.

This seems like a great subject for a prediction market! I will link this market to anyone who is uncertain of whether they can trust me with their money and/or valuable cards.

If you are one of those people and you're unfamiliar with what a prediction market is, it's a way for people to bet on the outcome of any question. The percentage that's displayed on this market is the likelyhood that I can be trusted. If anyone disagrees and thinks I can't be trusted, they can bet against me, and they'll make money if they're right.

The specific resolution criteria of this market are: If before the end of 2029 I am credibly accused of a serious theft or scam, this market resolves to NO. Otherwise it resolves to YES at the beginning of 2030.

For an accusation to count as "credible" it does not need to be proven true, but it needs to come with substantial evidence and convince a significant fraction of people who once trusted me that they should trust me less in the future. The alleged action does not need to be illegal, it only needs to be strongly and clearly immoral, and involve taking money or other items of value that should rightfully belong to someone else. In the event of a disagreement on how this market should be resolved, I will defer to a poll of Manifold users and my Facebook friends.

Given the inherrent resolution risk in a market like this, I would appreciate it if some other trustworthy market creators on Manifold were to 

make a market on whether I will resolve this market correctly

There are two so far, which can be found 

. If you think I shouldn't be trusted, go make some free money by betting against me over in those markets. :)

In order to have everything convieniently in one place, here's some other evidence in favor of my trustworthyness:

And in the interest of transparency, here's some evidence against my trustworthyness:

Please feel free to put additional evidence in favor of either conclusion into the comments. (Which, notably, I cannot delete.)