By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?

Question

Full question:

By 2050, it will [] be possible to increase a healthy adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days.

One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.

Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 28% chance (25 traders, as of Oct 24, 2026).