Are bees sentient?

Question

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/02/bees-intelligence-minds-pollination

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XyKJJqLQjSKzL7ykP/managed-honey-bee-welfare-problems-and-potential-1

Resolves to my impression of the popular consensus in 2050. (About 2023 bees, not any uplifted versions in 2050.)

This market is about individual bees, not an entire beehive as a unified organism.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 57% chance (121 traders, as of Mar 30, 2026).