AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 7 minutes before 2028?

Question

Resolves the same as @/Bayesian/ai-beats-minecraft-rsg-in-under-10-z56AZNtIyL except with a different cutoff.

At present only one human has attained this goal, though another proved it doable in 6:17.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 20% chance (18 traders, as of Sep 20, 2026).