Will the Bing + ChatGPT leak from Owen Yin prove real?

Question

Student Owen Yin released a Medium post on February 3rd claiming to have screenshots/animations from the ChatGPT-powered "new Bing".

Several news sources ended up posting about the screenshots, but also mentioned "(The Verge has been unable to verify the authenticity of these screenshots and Microsoft declined to comment on the validity of these apparent leaks.)"

Will I end up believing this was a real (intentional or unintentional from Microsoft) leak, or fake? I expect this to play out in Q1-Q2 of 2023, but I'm leaving some extra room.

This will resolves YES if...
1) The actual product ends up looking remarkably similar to these screenshots.
2) The screenshots are confirmed by Microsoft or a very credible news source.
3) Credible live screen captures from multiple users are abundant to a point where extremely little doubt remains.

Feel free to suggest other ways to resolve this in the comments. I might end up resolving YES for other reasons as well, but will try to be more strict on those.

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Feb 7, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.