Will one of the markets around Destiny's completion of Factorio resolve incorrectly or N/A?

Question

Insurance market.

For a market to be eligible, it must have 25+ traders. It does not have to be listed here.

If any of the following resolve in a way that is highly disputed (with evidence) or provably incorrect, then I will resolve this market YES. [EDIT: The following markets are different to those originally listed. The 2nd and 3rd market here are new to this list. Others were removed to tidy it up a bit]

[markets]For example, if Destiny finishes the mod, starts playing something else, but then says "I'm thinking I'll finish the secret ending" and so they conclude he is not finished, even though it is no longer the focus of his stream.

I will also resolve this YES if those market makers clarify their terms in a way that is against bettor expectations in a significant way (AKA they say, he has to literally uninstall it - or something ridiculous)

Also, if any of those market makers buy YES shares on this insurance market and then fail to resolve their markets correctly, I will manipulate this market, resolve it against them, and refund other participants.

[edit] any markets resolved before this one was created, will not count. creation date was feb1 afternoon in the US

Close date updated to 2023-02-15 11:29 am

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Feb 15, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.