"implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"

"ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"

"reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"

"end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"

"deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"

"deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"

"impose a total naval embargo on cartels"

"order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"

"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"

"choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"

"get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"

"ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"

"deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"

"strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"

"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

"put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"

"surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"

"keep America out of unnecessary foreign wars"

"get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"

"build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"

"cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"

"open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"

"veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"

"create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"

"reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"

"cut the number of school administrators"

"implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"

"continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"

"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

"uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"

"firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"

"banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"

"banning federal agencies from censoring speech"

"stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"

"enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"

"reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"

"pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"

"ban private money from pouring into local election offices"

"a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"

"a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"

"a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"

"a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"

"increase fairness through price transparency"

"reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"

"protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"

"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"

empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

Which of Donald Trump's campaign promises will he actually achieve?

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-cementing-fair-and-reciprocal-trade-with-the-trump-reciprocal-trade-act

Resolves YES for any items that have been achieved by the end of his presidency. They have to actually have been achieved (for example, a bill has passed to ban trans women from participating in women's sports, a constitutional amendment has been passed), though it doesn't have to be the most complete version, just enough that it's reasonable to say that it has been achieved (for example, trans women could be banned at the high school level but not college level). He doesn't have to have directly caused it to happen, it just has to have happened. They do have to have occurred nationwide however (so individual states banning trans women would not count without a nationwide ban).

If any promise was debatably already true (for example, ending COVID mandates), he must take some action to go further.

For many of these, it will ultimately wind up being somewhat subjective, but I will do my best to be impartial and defer to consensus opinion, and I will not hold any positions in this market. If any are too ambiguous, I reserve the right to resolve N/A.

All options resolve N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024.

For some positions that are not objective on Trump's campaign website, I will provide a specific definition below. For items that are based on a given date, I will as close as possible compare December 31, 2024 with December 31, 2028, or compare December 2024 with December 2028. For items based on a quarter, I will compare Q4 2024 with Q4 2028. For items that are based on a given year or fiscal year, I will compare 2024 with 2028.