Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?

Question

Context

The proposal to dolarize Argentina's economy has been brought to the forefront by presidential candidate Javier Milei. He argues that dolarization would end the country's inflation problem and proposes to demolish the Central Bank. However, economists and analysts have raised concerns about the feasibility, potential risks, and benefits of such a move. The political landscape, economic conditions, and social implications make this a complex and contentious issue.

Resolution Criteria

The prediction market will resolve in favor of "Yes" if Argentina officially adopts the U.S. dollar as its primary currency, replacing the Argentine peso, before the end of the year 2027.

Sources

BBC News Mundo Article on Milei's Proposal

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 12% chance (244 traders, as of Apr 30, 2026).