This market is based on the premise that a high-ranking U.S. official will deny the idea that Unidentified Flying Objects (UFOs) are related to extraterrestrial life within this year. A denial should be as explicit as saying "we should not take the idea of extraterrestrial influence seriously", or similar remarks. 

For the purposes of this market, a "high-ranking U.S. official" is any of:

- Member of the National Security Council

The statement must either be public, or made public (e.g. leaked, and confirmed by an independent source) by the end of the year. If leaked, the leak must come from two independent sources, and both sources must come forward before the end of the year.

https://manifold.markets/ScottLawrence/will-a-highranking-us-official-endo?r=RnJhbmtsaW5CYWxkbw

https://thehill.com/opinion/international/579303-nasa-chief-bill-nelson-latest-official-to-suggest-ufos-have/

Asked to speculate about the nature of recent UFO sightings , Bill Nelson responded, “Who am I to say that planet earth is the only location of a life form that is civilized and organized like ours…