Manifold Bingo 2026

Question

Manifold Bingo 2026

⚠️ ALPHA TEST - This game is in early testing. We may resolve all cards N/A if critical bugs are discovered. Play at your own risk!

Buy a personalized bingo card of Manifold markets!

How to Play

Add an answer with your @handle (e.g., "@yourname" or "@yourname-2" for a second card)

Reply to your answer with customization (optional):

free: market-slug-for-free-space
topics: AI, crypto, politics
include: specific-market-to-include

Place a limit order (25-60% probability, M$100-500) to buy your card

Bot fills your order and generates your card

View your card at: https://evand.github.io/manifold-bingo-2026/

Timing

Card generation: ~1-2 minutes after placing your limit order (if bot is running)

Card viewer update: ~2-3 minutes after card generation (GitHub Pages deployment)

If bot is not running, cards will be generated when it restarts

Pricing & House Edge

Cards are generated with a ~5% house edge. This means if you buy at 50%, your card will have approximately 45% win probability. The edge covers bot operation costs and provides a buffer for probability estimation.

Resolution Rules

Your card resolves YES if any row, column, or diagonal completes (all 5 markets resolve YES)

Your card resolves NO if all 12 lines are blocked (each line has at least one market that resolved NO)

Cards remain active until one of these conditions is met

Card Details

5x5 grid (25 markets total)

Free space in center (high probability market)

12 winning lines: 5 rows + 5 columns + 2 diagonals

Customization Limits

Max 4 specific markets you can request via include:

Max 4 topics you can request via topics: (2-4 markets per topic, up to ~16 total)

Remaining slots filled with random eligible markets to hit target probability

Rerolling Markets

Don't like some markets on your card? Within 24 hours of purchase, you can request replacements:

Reply to the bot's card details comment (not the answer) with:

reroll: market-slug-to-replace
ban: keyword

reroll: replaces a specific market by slug

ban: replaces all markets matching a keyword (in title, slug, or topics)

Bot will reply confirming the changes and updated win probability

Max 12 markets can be rerolled (half the card)

Market Eligibility

Markets on your card are selected from Manifold markets that meet these criteria:

Binary outcome type (YES/NO markets only)

Ranked (quality-filtered by Manifold)

20+ unique traders (ensures liquidity and interest)

Closes between 1 week from now and January 7, 2027

Trading

Trade your card position anytime on Manifold! The market price reflects the community's estimate of your card's win probability.

Links

Card Viewer: https://evand.github.io/manifold-bingo-2026/

Questions/Bugs: Comment below or DM @evandaniel

Good luck! 🎲

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, @jcb https://evand.github.io/manifold-bingo-2026/card.html?id=jcb-001, followed by @Gabrielle https://evand.github.io/manifold-bingo-2026/card.html?id=Gabrielle-001 and @Jack1 are most likely. See the market for live updates (22 traders, as of Oct 3, 2026).