Will there be more mana purchased in March 2026 than in December 2025?

Question

As per https://manifold.markets/stats, as measured in dollars spent.

Update 2026-01-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Manifold adds a "Pay directly in dollars" option to the mana shop:

Purchases will count if they appear on the mana sales chart at https://manifold.markets/stats

If the chart is broken and there are other ways to get relevant data, the creator may change this approach (with mod team input, as the creator is invested in the market)

Update 2026-01-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Manifold implements a way to pay for subscriptions or other items directly with USD (without creating mana as an intermediate step), such purchases will be treated as different from mana purchases and may not count toward the mana sales total for this market's resolution, depending on whether they appear on the mana sales chart at https://manifold.markets/stats.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 5, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.