Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Question

Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election. Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be. I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later

Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held. If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Gavin Newsom, followed by Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg are most likely. See the market for live updates (489 traders, as of Oct 17, 2026).