Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

Question

Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028

Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"

Remember to bet for "Other". Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Gavin Newsom, followed by Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg are most likely. See the market for live updates (1,856 traders, as of Jul 3, 2026).