What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?

Question

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Resolved to the % of energy from hydropower + wind + solar + modern biofuels + other renewables for each year according to our world in data:

https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption

[image](I will calculate the % base on the numbers in this graph)

Note that electricity was only about 20% of global energy use in 2022 (https://yearbook.enerdata.net/electricity/share-electricity-final-consumption.html)

Fusion does not count for this market.

If our world in data does not refresh their data I will propose and select another resolution source.

I will not trade in the market.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Daniel_MC/what-share-of-global-energy-will-co)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2100, followed by 2075 and 2050 are most likely. See the market for live updates (10 traders, as of Nov 11, 2025).