The Keynesian Beauty Contest is a game theory experiment where a group of players are asked to guess a number between 0 and 100. In this case, to reduce lag, I've only given the options 0-25. The winner of the contest is the player(s) who guess closest to 

This is an attempt to perform this experiment on Manifold, 

but using continuous averaging of options

a linear weighting of the options above and below half the average of the unrounded probability weighted value of the options 

For example, if all options are bid down to 0% except 4 and 9, and 4 stays at 30% the whole time, and 9 stays at 70%, the final result is (4*.3 + 9*.7) / 2 = 7.5 / 2 = 3.75, which would mean this market would resolve 25% 3 and 75% 4.

Unnecessary? Overcomplicated? We're all nerds here, deal with it.

This may not be the final version I use to resolve the market. I'll re-run it when I feel like it, and post the output - I'm not holding myself to any particular schedule.

Total Bets: 50339
Current Weighted Sum: 1.1971416919637063

Time Weighted Sum: 1.965951188162939
Final Answer: 0.9829755940814695
Resolution: 2% 0, 98% 1