Will the Javan Rhinoceros (Rhinoceros sondaicus) become extinct in the current century?

Question

This market is about the extinction risk of the Javan Rhinoceros species in the current century. The market will resolve YES if the Javan Rhinoceros is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Javan_rhinoceros

IUCN red list of threatened species

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/19495/18493900

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 84% chance (10 traders, as of Oct 24, 2025).