Which order will Artemis II, New Glenn flight 3 and Starship flight 12 launch?

Question

Question resolves after 2 launches without needing third to launch. (Hence options only list first two of the 3 launches)

If 2 haven't launched and appear cancelled question resolves 50:50 between the two possible orders.

If all 3 haven't launched and appear cancelled question is N/A.

Close date gets extended until 2 launched or remaining launches appear cancelled.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Artemis II then New Glenn flight 3, followed by Artemis II then Starship flight 12 and New Glenn flight 3 then Artemis II are most likely. See the market for live updates (28 traders, as of Apr 15, 2026).