2024-25 NFL season: Will there be a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games?

Question

The National Football League (NFL) is the main professional league for football of the American variety. Before the 2022-23 NFL season, the NFL sold exclusive streaming rights for some of its primetime games to Amazon Prime Video, something it has done for every season since, including the upcoming 2024-25 NFL season. These Prime-exclusive games are thus Amazon Prime primetime games.

You may know these games as Thursday Night Football, but this is misleading, as at least two Prime-exclusive games are not scheduled for a Thursday this season:

Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs on November 29, 2024 (a Friday)

A Wild Card game on the weekend of January 11-12, 2025

Wikipedia provides the full list of Amazon Prime primetime games for the 2024-25 season. The NFL website provides a partial list (without the Wild Card game). The schedule is subject to change.

A prime game is a game in which both teams score a prime number of points. If an Amazon Prime primetime game is also a prime game, it is an Amazon Prime primetime prime game.

0 is not prime. Neither is 1. But it's worth noting that 2 and 3 are. However, 4 isn't. That being said, 5 is. Despite this, 6 is not prime, although 7 is prime. On the contrary, none of 8, 9, or 10 are prime. Actually, you can just look this up.

The only examples of Amazon Prime primetime prime games so far have been:

Cleveland Browns def. Pittsburgh Steelers 29-17 on September 22, 2022

Philadelphia Eagles def. Houston Texans 29-17 on November 3, 2022

Jacksonville Jaguars def. New York Jets 19-3 on December 22, 2022

All three games occurred during the 2022 NFL season, so the 2022 NFL season would have finished with a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games (3). Meanwhile, the 2023 NFL season would not have finished with a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games (0).

Will the 2024-25 NFL season finish with a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games?

I will not trade on this market.

This market will close:

before kickoff on the final Amazon Prime primetime game of the season (likely the Wild Card game); OR

when it is no longer possible for the 2024-25 NFL season to finish with a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games, whichever is sooner.

Update 2025-01-11 (PST): This market will instead close after the Wild Card game between the Steelers and Ravens at 5 PM PT / 8 PM ET ends.

Update 2025-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - There are no Prime Video-exclusive games in week 18, leaving only the Wild Card game as the final Amazon Prime primetime game.

If the Wild Card game is a prime game, the market resolves to YES (2 Amazon Prime primetime prime games in the season).

If the Wild Card game is not a prime game, the market resolves to NO (1 Amazon Prime primetime prime game in the season).

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 12, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.