Will the Starship orbital test flight be successful?

Question

This resolves to YES if the [planned orbital test flight](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starship_orbital_test_flight) for Starship happens and the spacecraft indeed lands in the Pacific ocean near Kauai. For the purposes of this question, the landing doesn't have to be propulsive, but it does have to hit the ocean within 100 km of the target location. If the test flight doesn't happen by the end of 2023 this resolves N/A.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 20, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.