This market resolves to YES if, after the 2022 midterm elections for the U.S. Senate, members of the Democratic party are set to control a majority of seats in the Senate for the 2023-2024 period (or 50% of seats and the Vice Presidency). If I decide that the number of seats won by Democrats is ambiguous as of the resolution date, the market resolves to N/A. Mar 6, 5:20pm: I'm noticing now that there's a bit of ambiguity between my title and the description - There are actually currently 2 seats held by independent senators who caucus with the Democrats. Despite this, the consensus online seems to be that the democrats control the Senate currently, so I'm going to clarify that these senators (Bernie Sanders and Angus King, neither up for reelection in 2022), count as democrats for the purposes of this market.

Close date updated to 2023-01-01 11:59 pm