2028 POTUS Party nominees and winner

Question

This market is a derivative combining the following other markets, and resolves directly on the basis of their individual resolutions (note that even if there is a discrepancy where the resolved party nominee is replaced, I will still use these markets):

[markets]The market will only resolve N/A if one of the underlying markets does. The "Other" option accounts for all combinations not currently listed.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Other, followed by D: Gavin Newsom // R: JD Vance // D Wins and D: Gavin Newsom // R: JD Vance // R Wins are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of May 13, 2026).