Free on Brazilian soil, no warrant issued, elegible

'brazilian':3 'eleg':8 'free':1 'issu':7 'soil':4 'warrant':6

Free on Brazilian soil, no warrant issued, inelegible

'brazilian':3 'free':1 'ineleg':8 'issu':7 'soil':4 'warrant':6

Free on Brazilian soil, warrant issued but not fulfilled, elegible

'brazilian':3 'eleg':10 'free':1 'fulfil':9 'issu':6 'soil':4 'warrant':5

Free on Brazilian soil, warrant issued but not fulfilled, inelegible

'brazilian':3 'free':1 'fulfil':9 'ineleg':10 'issu':6 'soil':4 'warrant':5

Free on Brazilian soil after some kind of arrest, elegible

'arrest':9 'brazilian':3 'eleg':10 'free':1 'kind':7 'soil':4

Free on Brazilian soil after some kind of arrest, inelegible

'arrest':9 'brazilian':3 'free':1 'ineleg':10 'kind':7 'soil':4

Warrant issued, sheltered in a foreign embassy, any eligibility status

'elig':9 'embassi':7 'foreign':6 'issu':2 'shelter':3 'status':10 'warrant':1

Warrant issued, fled Brazil, any eligibility status

'brazil':4 'elig':6 'fled':3 'issu':2 'status':7 'warrant':1

Serving jail time or house-arrest, any eligibility status

'arrest':7 'elig':9 'hous':6 'house-arrest':5 'jail':2 'serv':1 'status':10 'time':3

Dead for any reason, other conditions unimportant

'condit':6 'dead':1 'reason':4 'unimport':7

Other, unlisted combination (please comment)

'combin':3 'comment':5 'pleas':4 'unlist':2

This market tries to aggregate multiple other markets on Bolsonaro's legal status in the next few years, namely:

reference date for resolving this market is the September 29th, 2024

 - one week before the planned date for 2024 Elections, and when most arrests become prohibited by electoral law. It will 

 (probably by the start of the political campaign), though, to desincentivize last minute bets.

I will count both temporary arrests and house-arrests as serving jail time, with no distinction on how much time was served. I will however provide answers distinguishing his status precisely on the Sep. 29th, 2024.

As of his eligibility status, I will consider the current Superior Electoral Court decision deeming Bolsonaro ineligible, unless it has been overruled by any court with de facto power for that.

Hopefully the answers are mutually exclusive and collectively exaustive, but I have provided an "Other combination" option for not antecipated outcomes. Be kind and comment your hypothesis if you buy that.