Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026

Question

Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.

Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing. Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.

Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).

≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.

Sources. Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ). Post-IPO market cap is public daily via standard market data. A single credible report is sufficient to resolve a threshold YES if not contradicted. Analyst estimates do not trigger resolution.

See also:

@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-NdEUcRyhds (this market)

@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end

@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-sLNqnZzNQg

@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-OzEn5Onucd

@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-qNOC0LpsRN

@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-SL8uUthtc9

@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-pqg5Al80tp

@/Bayesian/openai-highest-valuation-by-end-of-hZtdnzp2O2

@/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of-l2tUNqpOc2

@/JoshYou/will-anthropic-achieve-a-revenue-ru

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, ≥$1T, followed by ≥$1.5T and ≥$2T are most likely. See the market for live updates (50 traders, as of Oct 1, 2026).