If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?

Question

If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A.  Resolution source: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Alternative Resolution Source Clarification:

If 538 is unavailable, the resolution will use RCP instead.

Primary Resolution Source remains the 538 Job Approval average, provided it is available.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 20, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.