Will Congress vote to disqualify Donald Trump from running for president ever again?

Question

Donald Trump’s former impeachment defense lawyer Ty Cobb has recommended Congress disqualify Trump from running for president again because he aided the insurrectionists on Jan 6.

Resolves YES if Congress votes to disqualify Trump from appearing on the ballot as a candidate for president specifically or federal office more broadly.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (40 traders, as of Dec 22, 2025).