Will Manifold be able to repurchase our shares from Alameda?

Question

When we raised our seed round, FTX/Alameda was our largest investor, through the FTX Future Fund regranting program (see: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Finances-0f9a14a16afe4375b67e21471ce456b0). Now that they're undergoing bankruptcy proceedings, will it be possible for us to repurchase our own stock?

Specifically, they bought two SAFEs: 250k @10M postmoney, and 750k @ 15M post money; totaling 7.5% of the company if we are valued at 15m or more.

This market resolves YES if Manifold buy back the shares; NO if someone else purchases them or the shares have not been moved in about 5 years.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 13% chance (30 traders, as of Jul 1, 2025).