If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?

Question

If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?

This market will resolve YES if the 2025 democracy index for the United States released by the EIU is higher than 7.85, NO if it's less than or equal to 7.85

Resolves NA if Trump didnt win the 2024 presidential election

Economic Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index

Compare the price against this market to estimate if Trump will worsen Democracy in the US

(https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/if-biden-won-the-election-will-the)

credit to @PlasmaBallin for inspiring this question

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (32 traders, as of Apr 9, 2026).