In 2022, Paris announced a limited ban on cars in much of the city's 1st to 4th arrondissements. The ban is set to take effect in late 2023 or early 2024.

, this ban is expected to reduce traffic by 55%, which translates to a reduction of 100,000 cars per day.

The market will resolve YES if the ban achieves a reduction of at least 50% of pre-ban traffic or 100,000 cars per day (whichever number is available) by the end of June 2024.

However, if the ban is not in place or the effects are smaller than predicted, the market will resolve NO.

Please note that the resolution of this market might be delayed due to a lack of data.