Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?

Question

Will result in YES:

If tesla ever reaches market cap of

2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.

Currently:

Market cap is at 758 000 000 000$

Witch is 37.9% of 2T

[image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 61% chance (90 traders, as of Oct 22, 2026).