Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?

Question

Justin Murphy predicts I'll reconvert to Christianity: https://twitter.com/jmrphy/status/1741150091874902347
For the purposes of this market (based on Justin's description), it cannot be liberal Christianity, it has to be a version of Christianity that requires some sort of sexual conservatism.

edit: Made this before seeing someone else beat me to it: https://manifold.markets/jacobsaysheyyy/will-aella-revert-to-christianity-w?r=amFjb2JzYXlzaGV5eXk

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (192 traders, as of Sep 5, 2026).