Polymarket Electoral College Totals Forecast

Manifold Electoral College Totals Forecast

Metaculus Electoral College Totals Forecast

PredictIt Electoral College Margin Forecast

Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House"

Predictions will be locked in starting at 7:59 pm on September 10. 

Difference between Electoral College Totals Forecast and Overall Candidate Odds:

Some forecasts/markets measure the likelihood a candidate will win independently of their forecast for Electoral College Totals. Accordingly, those forecasts/markets with that ability have been split into two separate questions. For an Electoral College Total forecast to be correct it does not need to show the correct number of electoral votes, it simply must show the winner of the election getting a majority of the Electoral College votes.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and CNN. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If those outlets fail to come to a consensus, then the candidate sworn in will be considered the winner. 