Raises < $5 billion, does not survive or crashes

Raises >= $5 billion, does not survive or crashes

Raises < $5 billion, survives and no crash

Raises >= $5 billion, survives and no crash

https://www.wheresyoured.at/to-serve-altman/

For OpenAI to continue operating, things have to change dramatically.

This market tries to judge the dependencies outlined by Ed Zitron, especially the second bullet point. Full definitions:

In case of any of the event being reported before close date, I'll allow for at least a week for discussion and generally for dust to settle to see if there is outstanding uncertainty. If substantial uncertainty remains, I may extend the discussion period. If no qualifying event is reported by close date (31st Jan 2025, inclusive), this market resolves to "Raise less than $5 billion, survive/no crash"