Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)

Question

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for each answer if Tucker Carlson releases an interview with that person or group between March 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026. An interview is defined as a  conversation published on Tucker Carlson's platforms (Tucker Carlson Network, The Tucker Carlson Show, Tucker on X, or affiliated channels). For the purposes of this market, a debate shall count as an interview. The interview must be for at least 5 minutes. For group categories (e.g., "Any Democrat running for elected office"), the market resolves YES if Carlson interviews any member of that group. Resolution will be verified through official episode listings on tuckercarlson.com or other primary sources documenting published interviews.

Notes

Any Self Described Socialist shall include someone who has stated that they support/believe in socialism or are a socialist, without later disputing that (e.g., Joking, mind change). The phrases, Democratic Socialist, National Socialist, and Communist, Marxist, and shall be included, and social democrat, and Nazi shall not.

If a position (e.g., Prime minister, Governor), no longer exists, its equivalent shall not be included.

A person qualifies  as a Democrat Running for Elected Office if they (1) have officially filed candidacy paperwork with the relevant election authority OR have publicly announced a campaign for elected office, AND (2) are registered as a Democrat at the time of the interview OR are running in a Democratic Party primary.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Any Democrat Running for Elected Office, followed by Any Self Described Socialist and Ben Shapiro are most likely. See the market for live updates (6 traders, as of Jul 3, 2026).