Trump mentions abortion, abortion policy, or the pro-life movement

Designated Survivor(s) Assumes Presidency within 48hr of speech

Supreme Court Justices clap in response to at least one thing

Someone is removed from the chamber during the speech

Someone in audience holds up prop during speech

State of the Union address is given by Trump

2026 State of the Union address is canceled 

Jd Vance and Mike Johnson are sitting behind Donald trump

Every current Supreme Court justice in attendance

Trumps address goes for over 100 minutes (see comment for rules)

Someone is censured within a week because of the way they acted at the address

Trump mentions if he'll go to heaven or not

Trump, Vance and Mike Johnson all are wearing the exact same tie

Trump goes to sleep, faints or has medical event

Donald Trumps truth social account posts a truth while he is speaking?

Trump says MAGA or make America great again

Agriculture Secretary is Designated Survivor

President trump drinks water during state of the union address?

Trump says "transgender for everybody/everyone"

Trump confirms that alien life exists (leading to YES resolution on Kalshi/PM)

Trump says Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

Trump says AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times

Trump mispronounces the name of a country

Trump mentions Iceland, Sweden or Finland

Donald Trump mentions transgenderness or a transgender person

Trump comments about seeing/holding/wearing/similar the gold medal from the US Men's Hockey team

Will make every effort to resolve each item based on available information from viewing the address, official and unofficial transcripts, Wikipedia, and other sources. If there is no credible source, will resolve N/A. Some items will take longer to resolve than others.

This is meant to be a fun market. If you have any question about the interpretation of an item ask before participating in it, no exceptions. Participate at your own risk.

If the Address does not happen, all pertinent items resolve NO.

All added options, if not easily resolved default to the owner, if unresponsive, will N/A.

I will try to resolve props as quickly as possible, however, this may not always be the case. If something does or does not happen and the question is not resolved in a timely manner, do not interpret it as a ruling one way or another and have it influence your decisions. I've either missed it or need to do further research after the SOTU to confirm. I will attempt to have everything resolved on the night of the event, but give me a few days to take care of anything I may have missed. Thank you!