Which party will win the US Senate race in California in 2024 (full term)?
6
46
Ṁ447Ṁ235
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
97%
Democratic Party
1.7%
Republican Party
1.7%
This market covers the normal Senate race in California; the winner will serve a 6-year term.
Will eventually resolve to the party which won the popular vote for the race, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may optionally resolve early.
This market covers events up to and including Election Day, November 5: if Party A's candidate X wins the popular vote that day, but intervening events cause the next inaugurated Senator to be from Party B, the market will resolve to Party A.
If candidate X switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
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