Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030? | Manifold

Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?

28

1kṀ2022

2030

38%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

By "new" I mean any virus that is not a close mutation of any other viruses that currently in 2023 predictably infect humans

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